Next leader out of power before 2027?Takaichi - Japan PM
ResolvedOutcome: No$544Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
28 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Prime Minister Takaichi: "We will uphold our path as a peaceful nation" following the abolition of the five categories of taxation.
Bill to establish a disaster prevention agency begins deliberation in the House of Representatives. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: "It will be established by 2026."
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's desire for constitutional revision: 3 scenarios ahead of the 2028 Upper House election
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated at the Liberal Democratic Party convention that she aims to initiate constitutional amendments by the spring of 2027.
Prime Minister Takaichi urges the Upper House to accelerate constitutional reform discussions, stating, "We aim to initiate the proposal by spring 2027."
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to deliver speech at LDP convention, calling for constitutional reform and expansionary fiscal policy.
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: "Fulfill your campaign promises to win the unified elections" - Requests cooperation at national secretaries-general meeting.
Summary of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks to reporters: Preparations underway for summit with Iran
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi speaks with UAE President by phone, requesting cooperation on ensuring a stable supply of crude oil.
Prime Minister Takaichi: "All members of the LDP leadership were furious." Dissolution of the House of Representatives without prior consultation.
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: "A technology Japan can be proud of" - Inspecting space development with French President Macron
NOReuters99%match98¢+2%
Japan PM Takaichi: Will Work with France to Strengthen Supply Chains Including in Rare Earths
Prime Minister Takaichi's quest to become an "Iron Lady": The crisis in the Strait of Hormuz calls for a turning point.
G7 leaders seek summits with Takaichi as they try to balance China, US ties
Japan's PM Takaichi: Will ensure predictability with fiscal policy
JAPAN'S PM TAKAICHI: VITAL TO SPREAD WAGE HIKE MOMENTUM TO SMES
According to an opinion poll by Yomiuri, 69% of respondents approved of Takaichi’s performance at the Japan–U.S. summit, while only 19% expressed disapproval.
How Japan’s Sanae Takaichi beat the curse of the Oval Office
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi returns to Japan after her first visit to the United States.
Takaichi returns to Japan following a successful Japan–U.S. summit.
Takaichi’s crisis averted
Sanae Takaichi, a hard-line conservative who last year became first woman elected as Japan’s prime minister, has arrived in the Oval Office for her meeting with Trump. The two last saw each other in October in Tokyo, where they bonded over their shared admiration for Shinzo Abe, the slain Japanese leader.
Air Force One carrying Takaichi departs for Washington. Best of luck to her!
Prime Minister Takaichi: "Agreement reached with Representative Yoshimura on reducing the number of seats in the House of Representatives by 45." Explains the painful reforms.
Takaichi spoke to the press moments before departing for Haneda Airport. • • “The most important thing is to work toward the early de-escalation of the situation and to promote peace and stability in the Middle East, including energy security,” she said, emphasizing, “We want to have a thorough discussion based on Japan’s position and views.” • • She also stated that she intends to “thoroughly discuss the situation in the Indo-Pacific region and reaffirm the strength of the Japan–U.S. alliance, which is the strongest in the world,” and indicated her aim to strengthen cooperation across a wide range of economic fields.
Japan PM Takaichi To Visit US From March 18-20
JAPAN PM TAKAICHI TO VISIT US FROM MARCH 18-20
Indonesian President to visit Japan from 29th, meets with Prime Minister Takaichi
Where does the news lean?
10YES87NO11neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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