Next leader out of power before 2027?Lula da Silva - Brazil President
ResolvedOutcome: No$195Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Brazilian President Lula was discharged from hospital after undergoing surgery.
President Lula gives a joint statement to the press in Germany
President Lula at the inauguration of the Minister of the Secretariat of Institutional Relations of the Presidency
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announced on March 31 the departure of 14 ministers from his cabinet. The move allows the officials to run for public office in the elections. Learn more
Where does the news lean?
0YES10NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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See all outcomes for Next leader out of power before 2027? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.