Next leader out of power before 2027?Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
ResolvedOutcome: No$101Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
North Korea conducted new cruise and anti-ship missile tests under the direct supervision of leader Kim Jong-un. • • Follow:
North Korea successfully tested strategic and anti-ship missiles from a warship under Kim Jong Un's direction, who stressed enhancing military strikes as his main focus. • • Follow:
North Korean Leader Kim Jong-un welcomed belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko with a grand ceremony in Pyongyang. • • Follow:
North Korean leader: US government is a terrorist and an aggressor North Korean leader Kim Jong-un called the United States a state of terrorism and an aggressor against other countries in the world, and, emphasizing his country's nuclear capabilities, promised to further strengthen his country's nuclear deterrent. @TasnimNews
NORTH KOREA'S KIM CALLS FOR INTENSIFIED IDEOLOGICAL, TECHNOLOGICAL & CULTURAL REVOLUTIONS TO ADVANCE SOCIALIST CONSTRUCTION - KCNA
Russian President Putin congratulates North Korea’s Kim Jong Un on his reelection as head of the State Affairs Commission.
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has been re-elected as chairman of the State Council of the DPRK. According to Reuters, the parliament, which officially approves state policy, usually meets after the ruling Workers' Party congress to turn party decisions into laws. The Supreme People's Assembly is expected to discuss amendments and additions to the constitution, the election of the chairman of the State Affairs Commission and other leadership bodies, as well as the five-year economic development plan.
North Korea reappoints Kim Jong-un as supreme leader; leadership undergoes generational change.
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's daughter drives a military tank solo, in a scene analysts see as a sign of her potential preparation for a future leadership role.
DPRK leader Kim Jong Un rides on a tank alongside his daughter Ju Ae during a tactical drill. • • The appearance marked the latest in a series of increasingly frequent public events by Kim’s daughter. • • Earlier this month, she was also seen at a firing range aiming a sniper rifle and separately firing a handgun along with her father and military officials. • • #dprk
WATCH • • Kim Jong-un rolled out with his daughter Ju-ae, the presumed heir, riding a tank during a live exercise.
Kim Jong Un and his daughter are at the forefront of the military scene in Pyongyang. #SocialSky #KimJongUn #NorthKorea
North Korean leader and his daughter ride a tank According to the Korean Central News Agency, Kim Jong-un and his daughter supervised joint tactical exercises of tank and infantry units during a visit to a training base. @Mehrnews
North Korean leader and his daughter ride a tank According to the Korean Central News Agency, Kim Jong-un and his daughter supervised joint tactical exercises of tank and infantry units during a visit to a training base. @Farsna
North Korean leader and his daughter ride a tank According to the Korean Central News Agency, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and his daughter supervised joint tactical exercises of tank and infantry units during a visit to a training base. @TasnimNews
Robot ‘guides’ North Koreans towards a thumping win for Kim Jong-un
Where does the news lean?
0YES19NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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