When will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?December 31
Open$1.1Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO86¢
as of
What moved the odds?
18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Justice Alito says he won’t retire during lame-duck session of Congress
U.S. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito says he won’t retire during lame duck session
Live: Alito says he won’t retire during lame duck session
Justice Alito says he won't retire right away even if Democrats win the Senate. • • "I intend to stick around through this term,” Alito, 76, said in an interview last week. “I made that decision many months ago.” • •
Justice Samuel Alito tells Bloomberg News he isn't planning to rush a lame duck retirement if Democrats win the Senate (as a way to let Trump/GOP replace him). "I intend to stick around through this term," Alito says. The term runs through June.
Alito Explains His Decision to Defer Retirement
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
Live: Justice Samuel Alito says he is not retiring
Justice Samuel Alito says he’s not retiring ‘for another term’
JUSTICE ALITO SAYS HE WON’T RETIRE, WILL SERVE ANOTHER TERM — WSJ
During an appearance last week at a judicial conference, Justice Samuel Alito opened up about oral arguments, judicial security, and his writing process • •
Alito rips Jackson’s ‘utterly irresponsible’ solo dissent as Supreme Court fight shakes up 2026 map
NONews99%match60¢+43%
*TRUMP: ALITO IS AN INCREDIBLE JUSTICE
Alito celebrates his 76th birthday on the bench
Alito gives lawyers plain-English lesson on meaning of 'day' as Supreme Court weighs late-ballot fight
Where does the news lean?
2YES22NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
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See all outcomes for When will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.