Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 44% on Jul 6, 2026
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 33¢ to 43.5¢ (+10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from truthsocial.com.
How did the odds move?
33¢
47¢
44.5¢
43.5¢
33.5¢
+10.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Notruthsocial.com98%match
Exclusive — President Donald Trump: ‘Certainly Prepared’ for Possible SCOTUS Vacancy, but ‘Nobody’ Can Replace Justice Alito:
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO95¢
$848K
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for When will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.