When will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
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Market pricing makes June 30, 2027 the favorite at 36% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
Live: Justice Samuel Alito says he is not retiring
Live: Justice Samuel Alito says he is not retiring
Live: Justice Samuel Alito says he is not retiring
Justice Samuel Alito says he’s not retiring ‘for another term’
Justice Samuel Alito says he’s not retiring ‘for another term’
Justice Samuel Alito says he’s not retiring ‘for another term’
JUSTICE ALITO SAYS HE WON’T RETIRE, WILL SERVE ANOTHER TERM — WSJ
JUSTICE ALITO SAYS HE WON’T RETIRE, WILL SERVE ANOTHER TERM — WSJ
JUSTICE ALITO SAYS HE WON’T RETIRE, WILL SERVE ANOTHER TERM — WSJ
Exclusive — President Donald Trump: ‘Certainly Prepared’ for Possible SCOTUS Vacancy, but ‘Nobody’ Can Replace Justice Alito:
Exclusive — President Donald Trump: ‘Certainly Prepared’ for Possible SCOTUS Vacancy, but ‘Nobody’ Can Replace Justice Alito:
Exclusive — President Donald Trump: ‘Certainly Prepared’ for Possible SCOTUS Vacancy, but ‘Nobody’ Can Replace Justice Alito:
JUST IN: Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito *extends* a temporary stay on the Fifth Circuit's decision blocking mail-order and telehealth access to the abortion medication mifepristone until Thursday. #SCOTUS
During an appearance last week at a judicial conference, Justice Samuel Alito opened up about oral arguments, judicial security, and his writing process • •
Alito rips Jackson’s ‘utterly irresponsible’ solo dissent as Supreme Court fight shakes up 2026 map
*TRUMP: ALITO IS AN INCREDIBLE JUSTICE
Alito celebrates his 76th birthday on the bench
Alito gives lawyers plain-English lesson on meaning of 'day' as Supreme Court weighs late-ballot fight
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.