When will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

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Market pricing makes June 30, 2027 the favorite at 44% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Justice Alito says he won’t retire during lame-duck session of Congress
December 31Newswire95%match93¢-8%
U.S. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito says he won’t retire during lame duck session
December 31politico.com92%match93¢-8%
Live: Alito says he won’t retire during lame duck session
Justice Alito says he won't retire right away even if Democrats win the Senate. • • "I intend to stick around through this term,” Alito, 76, said in an interview last week. “I made that decision many months ago.” • •
Justice Alito says he won't retire right away even if Democrats win the Senate. • • "I intend to stick around through this term,” Alito, 76, said in an interview last week. “I made that decision many months ago.” • •
June 30, 2027NBC Reporter96%match66¢-15%
Justice Samuel Alito tells Bloomberg News he isn't planning to rush a lame duck retirement if Democrats win the Senate (as a way to let Trump/GOP replace him). "I intend to stick around through this term," Alito says. The term runs through June.
December 31NBC Reporter95%match93¢-8%
Justice Samuel Alito tells Bloomberg News he isn't planning to rush a lame duck retirement if Democrats win the Senate (as a way to let Trump/GOP replace him). "I intend to stick around through this term," Alito says. The term runs through June.
June 30, 2027foxnews97%match65¢-14%
"I've been bemused by the retirement speculation." • • Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito addresses speculation about his future on the bench during an interview with @ShannonBream on @FoxNewsSunday. • • Alito says the constant attention surrounding whether he will retire is "not too pleasant."
December 31foxnews97%match92¢-7%
"I've been bemused by the retirement speculation." • • Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito addresses speculation about his future on the bench during an interview with @ShannonBream on @FoxNewsSunday. • • Alito says the constant attention surrounding whether he will retire is "not too pleasant."
June 30, 2027theguardian.com97%match36¢+22%
Conservative US supreme court justice Samuel Alito hints at retirement in interview
December 31theguardian.com97%match8¢+75%
Conservative US supreme court justice Samuel Alito hints at retirement in interview
June 30, 2027nytimes.com93%match62¢-10%
As Midterms Near, Justice Alito Says He Considers Each Year Whether to Retire
December 31nytimes.com93%match93¢-8%
As Midterms Near, Justice Alito Says He Considers Each Year Whether to Retire
June 30, 2027politico.com93%match38¢+16%
Justice Alito confirms he is considering retirement
December 31politico.com93%match7¢+100%
Justice Alito confirms he is considering retirement
Alito Explains His Decision to Defer Retirement
Alito Explains His Decision to Defer Retirement
June 30, 2027foxnews92%match70¢-20%
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
December 31foxnews92%match94¢-9%
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
September 30foxnews92%match98¢+2%
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
June 30, 2027zerohedge94%match69¢-19%
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
December 31zerohedge94%match94¢-9%
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
September 30zerohedge94%match98¢+2%
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
June 30, 2027dbws.io93%match67¢-16%
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
December 31dbws.io92%match95¢-9%
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
September 30dbws.io92%match97¢+3%
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
June 30, 2027nypost.com94%match63¢-11%
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
December 31nypost.com94%match95¢-9%
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
September 30nypost.com94%match97¢+3%
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
June 30, 2027nbcnews.com95%match63¢-11%
Live: Justice Samuel Alito says he is not retiring

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.