When will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?June 30, 2027
Open$47Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 36% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES36¢
NO65¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"Great news for our country!" • • President Trump celebrates Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito's announcement that he plans to stay on the bench for another term, calling the conservative justice "one of the Greatest of All Time."
"Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has announced that he is staying for another Term" - Trump
Justice Alito says he is staying on Supreme Court for another term
Samuel Alito staying on Supreme Court bench for another term after NPR erroneously reported his retirement
Live: Justice Samuel Alito says he is not retiring
Justice Samuel Alito says he’s not retiring ‘for another term’
JUSTICE ALITO SAYS HE WON’T RETIRE, WILL SERVE ANOTHER TERM — WSJ
Where does the news lean?
0YES7NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
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See all outcomes for When will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.