Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meetingSeptember 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$194KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NORussian Foreign Ministry92%match82¢+22%
Interview with Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia A.S. Alimov to MIA "Russia Today" (September 22, 2026) Question: Has Russia decided on its support for a candidate for the post of UN Secretary-General? A.S. Alimov: The selection and appointment of the highest administrative official of the UN is a complex procedure. The outcome undoubtedly depends on the preferences of a single state—even a permanent member of the Security Council, as in the case of Russia—but only partially. Moreover, in today's highly charged geopolitical environment, the publicly stated preferences of a given state may ultimately work against the candidate. In the current election cycle, the Latin American and Caribbean region has been given the task of nominating a candidate, in accordance with the unofficial principle of geographic rotation. Although this rule has been violated before—Portuguese-born Antonio Guterres assumed his current position ten years ago over a representative from the Eastern European group—we have publicly stated our commitment to this principle. We believe that members of the Security Council give priority attention to applicants from the specified region. Although, of course, each candidate has his own baggage of experience and advantages over competitors. Question: Can we expect contacts between our delegation and representatives of Ukraine during the upcoming UNGA high-level week? A.S. Alimov: The schedule of Foreign Minister Sergey V. Lavrov, who will traditionally lead the Russian delegation during the high-level week of the UN General Assembly, does not include meetings with representatives of Ukraine. They didn't approach us with such proposals. If they do, which I very much doubt, we will consider them, just as we would similar proposals from any other delegation. But at the moment, the schedule has already been drawn up, and it is, as always, extremely tight, with dozens of bilateral and multilateral meetings literally every 15 minutes. Question: What is Russia's position on the idea of seeking a political and diplomatic solution to the conflict with Ukraine through UN mediation after Antonio Guterres was replaced by a new Secretary-General who has not yet been tainted by anti-Russian bias? Can the organization make any further contribution to resolving the conflict? A.S. Alimov: Guterres will leave his successor a truly depressing legacy. The issue isn't just the Secretariat's approach to the Ukrainian crisis, but also to virtually all regional and functional issues. Cleaning up this "Augean stable" won't be easy. Yes, we will seek from the new Secretary-General a revision of the biased line of the Secretariat that took root under his predecessor, which contradicts the provisions of the UN Charter. However, there are currently serious doubts about the UN's mediating role in the Ukrainian crisis. Question: Is Russia considering signing a peace treaty with Ukraine in the future through a special UN procedure, as reported by Ukrainian media? A.S. Alimov: The media, especially the most honest Ukrainian ones, are full of all sorts of rumors, insider information, and leaks. In this case, it's difficult to decipher what exactly is being said. I urge you not to waste time on the speculations of Ukrainian journalists, but to focus on the official comments of our country's leadership and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Read in full
NORussian news outlet Agentstvo93%match69¢+45%
The Kremlin confirmed reports from the White House and Kyiv about resumption of talks after the State Duma elections Trilateral talks on Ukraine may resume in October, Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov said on Sunday. The day before, the head of the Ukrainian presidential office, Kirill Budanov, spoke about this. Previously, the French authorities, citing the White House, reported that Moscow would be ready for talks after the State Duma elections. In order to resume negotiations, Moscow changed its conditions for resuming talks. Details. Peskov was asked to answer the question of whether the talks could take place in October. Quote. "Yes, we do not rule out this possibility. We are talking specifically about the foreseeable future. That is, of course, presumably October. "October cannot be ruled out," Peskov said (quoted by TASS). The possibility of a trilateral meeting was discussed during the visit to Russia of American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, Peskov said. The UAE could be the venue for the talks. Vladimir Putin's aide Yuri Ushakov said that Moscow considers this venue "quite acceptable," confirming that Abu Dhabi has confirmed its readiness to provide it for meetings between representatives of Russia, the United States, and Ukraine. On Saturday, Budanov announced that the next round of trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States could take place in October. "We are preparing. For October," Budanov said, answering journalists' questions. On Friday, it became known that the Kremlin no longer makes the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Donbas a condition for resuming trilateral talks between Russia, the US, and Ukraine. In May, Vladimir Putin's aide Yuri Ushakov said that without this step, a new round would be meaningless, while Dmitry Peskov called it a condition for moving to full-fledged negotiations. On Friday, Peskov stated that "we are not setting conditions for the negotiations themselves" (more details). Context. On Monday, the Elysee Palace, citing a White House statement, said Moscow had expressed its readiness to resume talks after the elections. Last ​​week, in an interview with The New York Times, Budanov said that talks mediated by the Donald Trump administration were expected to resume by the end of September, a few days after parliamentary elections in Russia and a few weeks before the midterm elections in the United States. Subscribe to "Agency" on Telegram / mailing list
NOlivesquawk92%match62¢+61%
Ukraine’s Zelenskiy Rules Out Trilateral Talks Before Elections In Russia • - Planning To Meet US Team At The End Of September In New York
YESUkrainska Pravda news outlet94%match48¢-100%
Putin will be ready for a new start to the peace negotiation process in Ukraine after the parliamentary elections in Russia are over on September 18-20. According to the interlocutor of "European Truth", American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, after a visit to Moscow and a meeting with Putin on September 5, during a meeting in Kyiv on September 6 conveyed the Russian president's new position on the possibility of negotiations to negotiators from Ukraine and security advisors from France, Germany and Britain (E3 countries) subscribe

Where does the news lean?

12YES6NO10neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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