Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meetingSeptember 15

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$99KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOUkraine President Zelenskiy92%match92¢+9%
I don't think we will have talks before the end of the parliamentary "elections" in Russia. But at the end of September we will be able to meet with the American team in New York. In the meantime, our teams remain in touch. And I hope that after the meeting with President Trump we will be able to talk more openly about all this. When we talk about the possible outcome of the trilateral meeting, our partners are now raising the issue of grain exports and other agricultural products that Russia is blocking in the Black Sea. We responded and did the same. We have to respond, otherwise Russia will never stop this war, because it will never feel it. The same with energy. Last month I had important conversations with Egypt, India, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and the United States. Everyone understands that blocking food for the world, for people, is a big challenge. Not only for Ukraine and Russia, but also on a global scale. It all depends on Russia. I'm not sure they are able to show flexibility on these issues. But strong world leaders can force them to take the right position, even if they don't like it. From a media interview with Mark Carney.
NOUkraine President Zelensky92%match92¢+9%
I don’t think we will have negotiations before parliamentary “elections” in Russia end. But at the end of September, we will have an opportunity to meet with an American team in New York. Meanwhile, our teams are in touch. And I hope we can be more open about all of this after a meeting with President Trump. • • When we speak about the potential outcome of a trilateral meeting, our partners are now raising the issue of exports of grain and other agricultural goods that Russia blocks in the Black Sea. We responded and did the same. We have to respond, otherwise Russia will never stop this war, because it will never feel it. Same with energy. • • Last month, I had important conversations with Egypt, India, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and the United States. Everybody understands that the blockade of food for the world – for the people – is a big challenge. Not only for Ukraine and Russia, but globally. • • All of this is up to Russia. I’m not sure they can show flexibility in these matters. But strong leaders of the world can move them to the right position, even if they don’t like it. • • From the press conference with Mark Carney.

Where does the news lean?

3YES8NO6neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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