Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meetingOctober 31
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The market prices a 18% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES18¢
NO83¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Ukraine agrees to trilateral meeting with Russia The President of Ukraine announced that he has agreed to the US proposal to hold trilateral technical talks in the UAE. This proposal has also been presented to the Russians and they are waiting for Russia's response to this proposal. These talks are scheduled to be held by the end of October (this month). He emphasized that he is ready to hold these talks in the UAE or any other country that the US suggests. @YjcNewsChannel
FWD from Zelenskiy / Official: Yesterday I spoke with the American negotiating team. The American side is in contact with Ukraine and Russia today and offers to hold a meeting by the end of October at a technical level in a trilateral format. Yesterday I confirmed to them that our side is ready to support until the end of October. There is no new information here. We are open to the United Arab Emirates or another country proposed by the American side. I know that they will offer this to the Russian side as well - or have already offered it. We will wait for an answer. We react positively to the negotiations. From communication with media representatives together with Friedrich Merz. (3/3)
The Kremlin has allowed for the resumption of trilateral talks on Ukraine in October.
The Kremlin confirmed reports from the White House and Kyiv about resumption of talks after the State Duma elections Trilateral talks on Ukraine may resume in October, Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov said on Sunday. The day before, the head of the Ukrainian presidential office, Kirill Budanov, spoke about this. Previously, the French authorities, citing the White House, reported that Moscow would be ready for talks after the State Duma elections. In order to resume negotiations, Moscow changed its conditions for resuming talks. Details. Peskov was asked to answer the question of whether the talks could take place in October. Quote. "Yes, we do not rule out this possibility. We are talking specifically about the foreseeable future. That is, of course, presumably October. "October cannot be ruled out," Peskov said (quoted by TASS). The possibility of a trilateral meeting was discussed during the visit to Russia of American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, Peskov said. The UAE could be the venue for the talks. Vladimir Putin's aide Yuri Ushakov said that Moscow considers this venue "quite acceptable," confirming that Abu Dhabi has confirmed its readiness to provide it for meetings between representatives of Russia, the United States, and Ukraine. On Saturday, Budanov announced that the next round of trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States could take place in October. "We are preparing. For October," Budanov said, answering journalists' questions. On Friday, it became known that the Kremlin no longer makes the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Donbas a condition for resuming trilateral talks between Russia, the US, and Ukraine. In May, Vladimir Putin's aide Yuri Ushakov said that without this step, a new round would be meaningless, while Dmitry Peskov called it a condition for moving to full-fledged negotiations. On Friday, Peskov stated that "we are not setting conditions for the negotiations themselves" (more details). Context. On Monday, the Elysee Palace, citing a White House statement, said Moscow had expressed its readiness to resume talks after the elections. Last week, in an interview with The New York Times, Budanov said that talks mediated by the Donald Trump administration were expected to resume by the end of September, a few days after parliamentary elections in Russia and a few weeks before the midterm elections in the United States. Subscribe to "Agency" on Telegram / mailing list
Reuters news agency quoted the head of the Ukrainian presidential administration as saying that Kiev is preparing to resume trilateral talks aimed at resolving the more than four and a half year war with Russia in October (next month).
Ukraine is preparing for a new round of peace talks in October – Budanov
Ukraine is preparing for peace talks in October – Budanov A new round of peace talks in a trilateral format may take place in October, said Head of the Presidential Office Kyrylo Budanov in a comment to Interfax-Ukraine on the sidelines of the YES meeting in Kyiv, organized by the Victor Pinchuk Foundation. "We are preparing. For October," Budanov said, answering the question of whether the next round of peace talks is being prepared.
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Where does the news lean?
44YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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