When will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran?December 31
Open$2.2Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESiranintl_en98%match26¢-81%
Exiled Iranian prince Reza Pahlavi urged Iranians to remain in their homes and continue strike action while awaiting what he described as his “final call,” saying the country had reached a sensitive stage in its struggle against the Islamic Republic.
NOVisegrád 2498%match72¢+32%
[Islamists] come to our countries as guests, and instead of assimilating, and respecting our values and culture, they are dictating that we should practice Sharia law? [The West] will end up like Iran! says Crown Prince @PahlaviReza in an interview with V24’s Stefan Tompson.
NOVisegrád 2498%match72¢+32%
[Islamists] come to our countries as guests, and instead of assimilating, and respecting our values and culture, they are dictating that we should practice Sharia law? [The West] will end up like Iran! says Crown Prince @PahlaviReza in an interview with V24’s Stefan Tompson.
Where does the news lean?
1YES3NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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