When will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran?January 31

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$547KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESGlobe Eye News99%match9¢-100%
Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi says he is preparing to return to Iran.
NOWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧99%match91¢+10%
Reza Pahlavi calls for nationwide strikes in Iran and says it’s time to take back the streets.

Where does the news lean?

1YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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