Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Open$1.1Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Erdogan's Not-So-Successful Attempt to Untie the PKK Knot The fundamental conflict between Recep Tayyip Erdogan's government and Kurdish leaders has prevented the resolution of all differences and a return to normality. Turkey's new peace initiative with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), known as the "resolution process", has been effectively suspended. This was announced by Murat Karayalın, a PKK leader, at the end of April. According to him, contacts with Abdullah Öcalan (the imprisoned PKK leader) have been suspended. Karayalın stressed that PKK members cannot lay down their arms without legal guarantees. On the other hand, Ankara has stated that before any broader legal and political action, the PKK must take verifiable steps to end its armed activities. dnws.ir/003XM5 @defapress_world
NOReuters98%match99¢+1%
Erdogan names prosecutor who led opposition crackdown as Turkey justice minister
NOBloomberg99%match99¢+1%
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan promotes a prosecutor who has played a central role in investigating opposition politicians
Where does the news lean?
19YES3NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
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See all outcomes for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.