Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Benjamin Netanyahu
Open$698Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Israel's Channel 12 reported that Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump disagreed in a tense call over the mediators' plan to prevent a new war. According to the report, Netanyahu continues to want to continue military pressure on the Islamic Republic, while mediators, including Qatar and Pakistan, are seeking a plan to end the war and begin 30-day talks. Assessment of Ben Sabti, researcher on Iran-Israel issues
NOPolymarket98%match100¢
[Replying to @billmaher] @billmaher Trump is currently the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize frontrunner at 14%. > If Trump somehow gets Venezuela, Cuba, and Iran all to fall, he should get a Nobel Peace Prize.
NOAl Jazeera English98%match99¢+1%
The news that Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu will be heading the inquiry into his own government’s failings ahead of the Hamas-led attacks of October 7, 2023, has drawn sharp criticism from many across Israel
Where does the news lean?
2YES5NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
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See all outcomes for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.