Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Charlie Kirk
Open$1.2Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
University where Charlie Kirk was assassinated picks critic of him for commencement speaker: 'Slap to the face'
After Charlie Kirk’s Death, a Fight for the Youth Vote
Back in 2025, Putin offered his sympathies to the family of Charlie Kirk, calling his killing a brutal act and asserting that he died upholding traditional values.
"Charlie Kirk was publicly murdered in a horrific manner, and we are not even allowed to investigate it. He told me loudly: 'Joe, stop us from going to war with Iran.'" Joseph Kent, the resigned director of the US National Counterterrorism Center, reveals shocking details about his last meeting with Kirk, amid growing questions about political pressure and the circumstances of the mysterious assassination. #I_am_Arab
NOfoxnews98%match97¢+3%
HONORING A LEGACY: March 10, 2026 marks six months since Charlie Kirk was assassinated at Utah Valley University in Orem, Utah.
NOPOLITICO99%match97¢+3%
Charlie Kirk only endorsed a handful of candidates before he was killed — but he's all over GOP campaign ads. Candidates are promoting endorsements from Kirk's organization, and in a few cases the man himself, in hopes of appealing to his fans.
NOThe Economist99%match99¢+1%
“His murder shines a light on the horrific level of political violence in the US.” On a special year-in-review episode of “The Intelligence”, @ARobertsjourno reflects on the death of Charlie Kirk
NOThe Wall Street Journal98%match99¢+1%
Before Charlie Kirk was fatally shot, he was readying for JD Vance to become the next president of the United States. Now, Erika Kirk is determined to make that happen.
Where does the news lean?
0YES10NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
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See all outcomes for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.