French Socialist Primary: First Round WinnerOlivier Faure
ResolvedOutcome: No$3Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
"It's tough for him": Olivier Faure's severe defeat weakens the Socialist Party's leader
Social Democratic primary: Olivier Faure accepts Raphaël Glucksmann's victory "with wisdom"
"We now have a candidate": after Raphaël Glucksmann's victory, Olivier Faure calls for "forging this spirit of victory together"
"We now have a candidate": after Raphaël Glucksmann's victory, Olivier Faure calls for "forging this spirit of victory together"
LIVE
"We now have a candidate": Olivier Faure, who came in second in the primary, congratulates Raphaël Glucksmann
LIVE. "We now have a candidate": Olivier Faure, who came in second in the primary, congratulates Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: "We now have a candidate": Olivier Faure, who came second in the primary, congratulates Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: Olivier Faure accepts the result "with wisdom" and promises to continue his commitment at the head of the party, particularly with high school students and on the budget...
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: "You are now the elected candidate of the three parties associated in this primary," declares Olivier Faure
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: Olivier Faure arrives to cheers after his defeat
Socialist primary: Excluded MP Philippe Brun denounces "a setup" and an "Olivier Faure affair"
Socialist primary: excluded MP Philippe Brun denounces "a setup" and an "Olivier Faure affair"
Philippe Brun's exclusion from the Socialist Party primary: "It was a unanimous decision," says Olivier Faure, who cites "sufficiently strong evidence provided by the alleged victim."
Live: Olivier Faure "fully supportive" of the decisions to suspend Philippe Brun from the Socialist Party and exclude him from the primary
Where does the news lean?
4YES10NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
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