Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman
Open$2.7Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 56% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES56¢
NO44¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
New - Mayor poll - Los Angeles Nithya Raman 39% Karen Bass (Inc) 28% Berkeley IGS #B - LV - 9/20
Live: Nithya Raman, the progressive Los Angeles city councillor challenging Mayor Karen Bass, has received an endorsement from the city’s chapter Democratic Socialist
Where does the news lean?
5YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Los Angeles Mayoral Election — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.