Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionKaren Bass
Open$860Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 65% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES65¢
NO36¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Mass brawl breaks out at Venice Beach homeless camp where Karen Bass boasted about cleanup
Karen Bass in trouble after 'downright devastating' new poll ahead of LA mayoral primary
Family who lost everything to fire sparked by homeless squatters slams Karen Bass
NOnypost.com99%match49¢-29%
Shock poll shows majority of LA voters balk at supporting Karen Bass
YESLeading Report99%match58¢+12%
BREAKING: Los Angeles mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt says he would cooperate with ICE if he defeats Mayor Karen Bass.
YESBreaking91199%match57¢+14%
Los Angeles mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt pledges to cooperate with ICE if he succeeds in unseating Karen Bass.
YESBloomberg99%match61¢+7%
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass used her State of the City address to effectively kick off her reelection campaign, highlighting the city’s recovery from last year’s deadly wildfires and casting LA as ready to host a run of global events
Where does the news lean?
3YES11NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
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See all outcomes for Los Angeles Mayoral Election — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.