Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Odds jumped to 59% on Sep 23, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 43.5¢ to 58.5¢ (+15.1 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ppollingnumbers. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match43.5¢
+5m54¢
+30m54.4¢
+1h58.5¢
+24h58.1¢
1h move+15.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesppollingnumbers97%match
New - Mayor poll - Los Angeles Nithya Raman 39% Karen Bass (Inc) 28% Berkeley IGS #B - LV - 9/20

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$4.5M

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Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Los Angeles Mayoral Election — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.