Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro
Open$3.4Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 72% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES72¢
NO28¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
With Venezuelan interim president Nicolás Rodriguez appearing at the United Nations on Wednesday, world leaders had to confront the former authoritarian supporter of Nicolás Maduro, now backed by Washington. In her speech on Wednesday, Rodriguez made no mention of Maduro. She spoke of Venezuela's "national revival" and stated clearly that elections would be held, but offered no details on the specific timing or method of the democratic transition.
CBS News: Venezuela's ousted leader Nicolas Maduro said on social media Sunday that he was "standing firm" and posted pictures of himself in a New York prison where he has been held since his arrest by US forces.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to face trial next June
Outside the New York courthouse where former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife appeared, the judge set the trial date for June 1st. Arguments regarding the admissibility of the case will be heard on November 17th. The defense argues that Maduro has immunity as a former head of state, while the prosecution maintains that the United States does not recognize his legitimacy as president.
Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's Trial Set for June 2027 -- WSJ
Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro’s trial set to begin in June 2027
The criminal trial of Nicolás Maduro and his wife is scheduled to begin on June 1, 2027, a federal judge said Wednesday.
A large crowd has gathered outside the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, where Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores are expected to appear. Holding signs, the protesters expressed their support for the presidential couple, who were kidnapped by U.S. forces on January 3.
BREAKING: Former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Celia Flores, are due in a Manhattan courtroom within the hour for the next step in their high profile criminal hearings. • • Maduro faces four criminal counts after U.S. forces seized him in Caracas during a January raid. Prosecutors allege he ran Venezuela as a drug trafficking organization for 25 years. • • A June 2027 trial date is expected. If convicted, Maduro and Flores could face life in prison. • • @BryanLlenas reports live outside the federal courthouse.
Who rules Venezuela after the arrest of its former president, Nicolás Maduro?
@ReemaAHamdieh
"American tutelage", release of opponents… Where does Venezuela stand, six months after the capture of Nicolas Maduro?
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, who is in exile, was denied entry to her homeland, The New York Times reports. She had planned to return to Venezuela from Panama to help with relief efforts following the recent earthquakes. Ms. Machado had wanted to use the island of Curaçao as a transit point, but Dutch authorities denied her entry after the United States refused to vouch for the politician. The White House and State Department deemed the opposition leader's actions an ill-timed "political stunt" that could destabilize Venezuela. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
The Venezuelan government has decreed seven days of national mourning, beginning at 6:00 PM on July 1, 2026, in remembrance of the victims of the June 24 earthquake. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez stated that Venezuela's soul is torn by the loss of life and that she will stand with the families. #teleSUR #LatinAmerica #SouthGlobal
Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, declared seven days of national mourning in Venezuela following the earthquakes of June 24. The decree will take effect on Wednesday, July 1, at 6:00 p.m. and will cover the entire country. The president lamented the loss of life and called for solidarity with the affected families, issuing a national call for reflection and respect. #WeAreWithVenezuela
Interim President Delcy Rodríguez Declares 7 Days of National Mourning in Tribute to Earthquake Victims On her Telegram channel, the Interim President of Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez, decreed this Wednesday a seven (7) day period of National Mourning in tribute to the fatal victims and those affected by the earthquakes that occurred on June 24.
Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, thanked the people of the world for their support. Venezuela is not alone! #WeAreWithVenezuela
State Department announces 'total compliance' from Venezuelan government in relief efforts after Maduro arrest
#EnVideo| En el año 2016, el Presidente Nicolás Maduro creó los Comités Locales de Abastecimiento y Producción (CLAP) como una organización comunitaria para la garantía de alimentos al pueblo venezolano. Actualmente, a 10 años de su creación, millones de habitantes reciben periódicamente dentro de sus comunidades combos alimentarios, reforzando así el compromiso del Gobierno Bolivariano con la alimentación.
Where does the news lean?
9YES34NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
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