Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Marine Le Pen

French far-right candidate Marine Le Pen emerges as frontrunner, driving market sentiment; doubts about fiscal expansion persist ahead of the presidential election.

Presidential election 2027: a new poll shows Marine Le Pen widening her lead in the second round, against any opponent

Presidential election: Marine Le Pen still clearly in the lead in voting intentions, according to a poll

Also from “News Items from @EllisItems ( • • “5. Eurointelligence: • • Never before had a candidate for the Rassemblement National such a solid lead in the polls eight months before the elections. Marine Le Pen is leading the polls for the first round with a wide margin and would win the second round against all candidates, according to the latest Elabe poll… • • There is simply no match to Le Pen at the moment. The centrist and the left bloc is eroded, and Emmanuel Macron’s legacy disappoints. Only Jean-Luc Mélenchon seems to have garnered some momentum. Le Pen leads in all age groups, amongst workers but also higher educated voters, according to Opinionway. Most notable is the shift amongst those aged 65 and above. They used to vote for Macron. Now they want to vote for Le Pen. Her steadfast position on the pension reform, advocating a return to a legal retirement age of 60 for those who started working before the age of 20, and 62 for others, has certainly something to do with it. Dignity and cultural identity are also themes that resonate well with this age group. • • The Cluster analysis from Terra Novashows that there is no automatic reflex to block Le Pen from winning any more. (Sources:

Marine Le Pen is far ahead in voting intentions for the first round of the presidential election, according to a poll

Marine Le Pen is no longer the clear first-round favourite, she is now genuinely competitive against the strongest candidates in the runoff according to latest Elabe poll (for BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche). • • She is polling around 34–35.5% in almost every configuration and is projected to beat each of the four opponents tested in the second round. The most important number is probably 52.5% Le Pen vs. 47.5% Philippe. Obviously not a done deal but the fact that the candidate who currently seems best positioned to unite the centre, part of the right and part of the left is no longer automatically beating the RN. • • What stands out most is the stability of Le Pen’s base as the real battle seems to be happening behind her. Philippe can rise to 20.5% but fall to 14.5% if his political space is fragmented. Mélenchon is around 14% and Glucksmann can reach 14% while Attal is closer to 12%. Unbelievable a few years ago but Le Pen’s qualification for the second round currently looks far more secure than that of any other candidate. • • 1 The problem for her opponents is that the traditional “republican front” against the RN is becoming much less automatic. Mélenchon voters no longer systematically transfer to a centrist candidate, LR voters can move toward Le Pen, and in a Le Pen–Mélenchon runoff a large share of centrist voters would rather abstain. Being the candidate facing the RN is no longer enough to win according to the poll. • • 2 On the left, the dilemma is almost the opposite as Mélenchon looks better equipped to qualify but far less capable of winning as shown by the 30.5% vs. 69.5% result against Le Pen. Glucksmann has more potential to broaden his coalition in the second round but a weaker first-round engine. As for LR, its electoral space increasingly looks squeezed between Philippe and Le Pen. • • We still need to be cautious as this remain a poll but politically, Marine Le Pen is currently the clear first-round favourite and probably the candidate with the easiest path to final victory according to betting markets. • • *Elabe link: • *More details: • *La tribune link: • *BFM TV link: • *Kalshi link:

Poll for the 2027 presidential election: Marine Le Pen leads in all scenarios

LIVE A new poll predicts a duel between Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who is slightly ahead of Édouard Philippe

Marine Le Pen leads in the first round against Jean-Luc Mélenchon: the latest poll on voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election

Presidential election: Marine Le Pen continues to lead in the polls, regardless of the second-round scenarios

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2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen at her highest level after the court decision… Discover the Figaro poll

EXPLAINED: Why is Marine Le Pen now able to run for the French presidency? • • After more than a year of uncertainty, a court ruling means the French far-right politician can run in the country’s 2027 presidential election. How has the situation been resolved, at least for now?

LIVE 2027 Presidential Election: Laure Lavalette, spokesperson for the National Rally, speaks of "great relief" after Marine Le Pen's candidacy

Marine Le Pen announced that she will run for president of France in 2027 The leader of the French "National Union" said that she would file a cassation appeal against the court's decision and conduct a presidential campaign without an electronic bracelet. According to Le Pen, the appeal to the Court of Cassation suspends the execution of her sentence. So, tonight I am a candidate in the presidential election, — the politician announced on French television. Le Pen also assured that she no longer sees any scenario in which she would not be able to participate in the 2027 elections.

"There's no scenario in which I can't run for president," French far-right leader Marine Le Pen declared in a television appearance after her conviction, stating her intention to run in the 2027 spring presidential election.

Frenchwoman Marine Le Pen announces her presidential candidacy for 2027 Far-right politician Marine Le Pen announced her candidacy for the 2027 French presidential elections after an appeals court reduced her disqualification from 60 to 45 months, allowing her to run despite her conviction for misusing European Parliament funds.

French far-right figure Marine Le Pen has been found guilty again, making her legally eligible to run in next year's presidential election.

French court clears way for Marine Le Pen to run in 2027 but under a condition she rejects

Marine Le Pen Cleared To Run In Next Presidential Election