Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Clémentine Autain
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
2027 Presidential Election: Green Party MP Clémentine Autain says she acknowledges the failure of the left-wing unity primary and is withdrawing her candidacy.
Presidential election 2027: Green Party MP Clémentine Autain says she acknowledges the failure of the left-wing unity primary and is withdrawing from the race
Presidential election: Clémentine Autain withdraws from the race after the failure of the unity primary
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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