Brazil Presidential ElectionLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Open$9.5Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 56% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES56¢
NO45¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Public opinion polls in Brazil show President Lula Silva leading his right-wing rival Bolsonaro.
Lula da Silva leads his right-wing rival by 4 points in Brazilian opinion polls. Details from our correspondent, Daddah Abdallah.
Polls: Lula da Silva leads his right-wing rival Flavio Bolsonaro in the Brazilian presidential race
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launched his reelection campaign in São Bernardo do Campo. In a massive rally, the president reaffirmed his commitment to the working class and presented the key points of his platform: a frontal assault on organized crime networks and the eradication of gender-based violence. He called for unity among grassroots organizations and defended the institutional transformations achieved during his terms in office. #Brazil #Lula #LatinAmerica #BrazilElections #teleSUR #Aug17
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launched his reelection campaign in São Bernardo do Campo. In a massive rally, the president reaffirmed his commitment to the working class and presented the key points of his platform: a frontal assault on organized crime networks and the eradication of gender-based violence. He called for unity among grassroots organizations and defended the institutional transformations achieved during his terms in office. #Brazil #Lula #LatinAmerica #BrazilElections #teleSUR #Aug16
Lula holds tight lead over Senator Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election, poll shows
Brazilian president announces his candidacy for a new term
A Quaest poll placed President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as the favorite in Brazil's presidential elections, with 38% of the vote compared to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's 31%. In four simulated runoff scenarios, Lula would win every time, while Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado tied for third place with 4%.
From the historic Vila Euclides stadium, Lula da Silva officially launches his reelection campaign in Brazil. Focusing on the fight against gender violence, organized crime, and strengthening social investment, the progressive leader seeks to consolidate the transformations of his administration alongside the "Brazil Ready for More" coalition. #Lula #Brazil #Elections2026 #Politics #Telesur #Aug16
Brazil’s Lula launches reelection bid, aims to win back workers to his Workers Party
Poll shows Lula leading in Brazil Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the Quaest poll of 13 presidential candidates with 38 percent of the vote.
El presidente brasileño, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, encabeza la intención de voto con un 39% para la primera vuelta, según una encuesta de Genial/Quaest registrada ante el Tribunal Superior Electoral. • • En segundo lugar se ubica el senador Flávio Bolsonaro con un 30%, mientras que el actual mandatario mantiene la delantera en todos los escenarios de balotaje frente a los demás candidatos. • • Ante este panorama de cara a octubre, la plataforma del Partido de los Trabajadores plantea la continuidad de políticas asistenciales, la ampliación de programas estudiantiles y la protección a adultos mayores para consolidar su base social.
A new poll shows Lula da Silva leading Flavio Bolsonaro in the Brazilian presidential race. @WaelTamimi
#Brazil elections: Poll shows Lula leading Bolsonaro
#SkyOnline %B7%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%B1%D8%A3%D9%8A-%D9%8A%D8%B8%D9%87%D8%B1-%D8%AA%D9%82%D8%AF%D9%85-%D8%B9%D9%84%D9%89-%D8%A8%D9%88%D9%84%D8%B3%D9%88%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%88
Lula leads Bolsonaro but gap narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows
Brazilian President Lula da Silva officially announces his candidacy for a new presidential term with the support of the country's left-wing parties. Report by: Daddah Abdallah
Lula pledges to defend Brazil's sovereignty by announcing his candidacy for re-election Brazil's president has announced his candidacy for the country's presidential election in October, presenting himself as an experienced leader capable of guiding the country in times of global instability. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva stated that it is a moral and ethical commitment to prevent the return of fascism to power, linking this responsibility to a possible new presidential candidacy for the October 2026 elections. Find more information at:
Lula confirms Geraldo Alckmin as his presidential running mate for the October elections Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announced that current Vice President and Minister of Development, Industry, Trade and Services, Geraldo Alckmin, will leave his cabinet post to join him again on the presidential ticket. The elections are scheduled for October 4. During a cabinet meeting in Brasilia, Lula declared that "comrade Alckmin will have to leave the ministry because he will be a candidate for the vice presidency of the Republic again."
YESBloomberg98%match47¢+19%
Brazil’s Finance Minister, Fernando Haddad, said he will step down in February to help in President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s reelection campaign
Where does the news lean?
61YES6NO40neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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