Israel Election: Likud # of seats?30-34
Open$21Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 15% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES15¢
NO85¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Zionist regime | Eisenkot is still in the lead According to the poll, if the elections were held today, the "Yashar!" party would take first place with 24 seats, which represents an increase of one seat compared to the previous assessment. The Likud party is also in second place with 23 seats. At the same time, the opposition coalition with a total of 57 seats is still unable to win a majority in the Knesset (parliament) at this stage. When asked which party they would vote for if elections were held under the current conditions, the poll participants said that the "Yashar!" party came in first place with 24 seats. The Likud party took second place with 23 seats, and the official camp coalition came in third with 14 seats. tasnimnews.ir/3675147
@TasnimNews
Likud is on the way to an extraordinary battle: 36 will fight for about 16 realistic seats | These are the names, head to head
Amit Segal
News 12 Poll: If the elections were held today, the Likud Party led by Benjamin Netanyahu and the Yesh Party led by Gadi Eisenkot would be the two largest parties in Israel with 23 seats each. For the Likud, this is an increase of one seat compared to the previous poll.
Where does the news lean?
0YES9NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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