VA-02 Democratic Primary WinnerElaine Luria
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$5Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Jen Kiggans previews strategy for rematch in Virginia House race against Elaine Luria
Live: Elaine Luria declares victory in Virginia’s 2nd District Democratic primary on X
Live: Former Rep. Elaine Luria wins Democratic primary in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District — setting up rematch of 2022 election
Live: Ex-Rep. Elaine Luria wins Democratic primary in Virginia battleground district
Live: Former Rep. Elaine Luria wins Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd House District
YESAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Elaine Luria wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Elaine Luria wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District
YESReuters98%match100¢
Former U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Battleground U.S. House District 2 - NBC News
YESReuters98%match100¢
Former U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Battleground U.S. House District 2 - CNN
Live: Former Rep. Elaine Luria to win Democratic primary for Virginia 2nd District, CNN projects
Live: Elaine Luria wins the Democratic primary for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, NBC News projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Elaine Luria wins the VA US House 2 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:17 PM EDT
YESReuters98%match99¢+1%
Former U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Battleground U.S. House District 2 - Ddhq
Live: Fmr Dem Rep. Elaine Luria seeks comeback in bid to flip back Virginia Beach 2nd District
Where does the news lean?
15YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.