Next leader out of power before 2027?Sheinbaum - Mexico President

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$152KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOJapan's PM Takaichi99%match100¢
I had a phone conversation with Mexican President Sheinbaum this morning.
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match100¢
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum participated this Saturday in the IV Summit in Defense of Democracy, which is taking place in Barcelona, Spain.
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match100¢
President Sheinbaum travels to Barcelona for "world peace" and the defense of peoples Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo traveled to Barcelona to participate in a summit of heads of state, an event she described as a meeting "for world peace." Sheinbaum emphasized that the meeting is guided by the Estrada Doctrine, which advocates for the defense of foreign policy and the people, seeking peaceful solutions to conflicts. Her agenda includes bilateral meetings with the presidents of Spain, Pedro Sánchez; Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva; Colombia, Gustavo Petro; and Uruguay, Yamandú Orsi, as well as a planned meeting with the President of the European Council, António Costa.
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match100¢
Changes at the Mexican Foreign Ministry: Juan Ramón de la Fuente resigns for health reasons, Roberto Velasco proposed as his replacement. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced on Wednesday the resignation of Foreign Minister Juan Ramón de la Fuente (74 years old), who is leaving his post for health reasons. "Dr. Juan Ramón de la Fuente has decided to step down as Secretary of Foreign Affairs for health reasons. This is part of our project, and once his rehabilitation is complete, he will rejoin us in another role," Sheinbaum announced via social media. To fill the position of head of the SRE, the president proposed the vice-chancellor for North America, Roberto Velasco Álvarez, whose appointment must be ratified by the Senate of the Republic.
NOcgtneurope99%match100¢
Sheinbaum: ‘Doctor Juan Ramón de la Fuente has decided to step down from his position as Secretary of Foreign Affairs due to health reasons. He is part of our project and, once his rehabilitation is complete, he will rejoin us in another role. • • I have decided to propose to the Senate of the Republic Maestro Roberto Velasco Álvarez as chancellor. Roberto has accompanied us thus far as Deputy Secretary for North America. I leave you this video for your information.’
NOcgtneurope99%match99¢+1%
MEXICO PRESIDENT CLAUDIA SHEINBAUM SAYS HEAD OF THE BRAZILIAN OIL COMPANY PETROBRAS WILL ARRIVE IN MEXICO IN APRIL TO DISCUSS A PROPOSED PARTNERSHIP WITH PEMEX
NOReuters99%match99¢+1%
Mexico President Claudia Sheinbaum Says Head of the Brazilian Oil Company Petrobras Will Arrive in Mexico in April to Discuss a Proposed Partnership with Pemex

Where does the news lean?

0YES35NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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