China Annual Inflation 20262.0-2.4%
Open$8Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESNews98%match2¢+150%
Diw Says It Expects Inflation Rate at 2.4% for 2026, 2.3% in 2027
NOCGTN America98%match96¢-1%
China’s consumer price index, a main gauge of inflation, edged up 0.2 percent year on year in January, official data showed on Wednesday, Feb 11.
NOFirst Squawk98%match96¢-1%
GOLDMAN REVISES UP CHINA 2026 FULL-YEAR PPI FORECAST TO -0.5%
NOFirst Squawk98%match96¢-1%
CHINA (JAN) CPI YOY ACTUAL: 0.2% VS 0.8% PREVIOUS;EST 0.4%
Where does the news lean?
2YES5NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
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