China Annual Inflation 2026

OpenOutcomes9as of

Market pricing makes 0.6 – 1.0% the favorite at 60% across 9 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

0.6 – 1.0%60%
0.1 – 0.5%16%
1.1 – 1.5%11%
2.0-2.4%5%
<-1.0%3%
1.6 – 2.0%3%
-0.4 – 0.0%2%
-0.9 – -0.5%1%
2.5%+0%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

0.6 – 1.0%Reuters99%match63¢-37%
Reuters Poll-China 2026 Consumer Inflation Forecast at 1.2% (vs 1.0% in April Poll), Same Rate for 2027
1.1 – 1.5%Reuters99%match45¢-76%
Reuters Poll-China 2026 Consumer Inflation Forecast at 1.2% (vs 1.0% in April Poll), Same Rate for 2027
2.0-2.4%Reuters99%match96¢-1%
Reuters Poll-China 2026 Consumer Inflation Forecast at 1.2% (vs 1.0% in April Poll), Same Rate for 2027
1.6 – 2.0%Reuters99%match95¢+2%
Reuters Poll-China 2026 Consumer Inflation Forecast at 1.2% (vs 1.0% in April Poll), Same Rate for 2027
0.6 – 1.0%nikkei.com99%match53¢+13%
Chinese companies are not passing on price increases despite rising crude oil prices; inflation rose 1.0% in the first half of the year.
0.6 – 1.0%wam.ae99%match52¢+15%
Consumer prices in China rose by 1% in June.
1.1 – 1.5%wam.ae99%match86¢+3%
Consumer prices in China rose by 1% in June.
0.6 – 1.0%China's business and market98%match49¢+22%
NBS: China June CPI down 0.3% MoM, up 1.0% YoY • The National Bureau of Statistics reported June CPI rose 1.0% YoY; urban +1.0%, rural +0.8%. Food prices fell 1.6% YoY, non-food +1.5%; consumer goods +1.1% YoY, services +0.8% YoY. Jan–Jun average CPI +1.0% YoY. Month-on-month June CPI declined 0.3% (urban -0.4%, rural -0.3%); food -0.4% MoM, non-food -0.3% MoM; consumer goods -0.6% MoM, services unchanged. • (
<-1.0%China's business and market99%match95¢+2%
NBS: China June CPI down 0.3% MoM, up 1.0% YoY • The National Bureau of Statistics reported June CPI rose 1.0% YoY; urban +1.0%, rural +0.8%. Food prices fell 1.6% YoY, non-food +1.5%; consumer goods +1.1% YoY, services +0.8% YoY. Jan–Jun average CPI +1.0% YoY. Month-on-month June CPI declined 0.3% (urban -0.4%, rural -0.3%); food -0.4% MoM, non-food -0.3% MoM; consumer goods -0.6% MoM, services unchanged. • (
-0.4 – 0.0%China's business and market99%match98¢
NBS: China June CPI down 0.3% MoM, up 1.0% YoY • The National Bureau of Statistics reported June CPI rose 1.0% YoY; urban +1.0%, rural +0.8%. Food prices fell 1.6% YoY, non-food +1.5%; consumer goods +1.1% YoY, services +0.8% YoY. Jan–Jun average CPI +1.0% YoY. Month-on-month June CPI declined 0.3% (urban -0.4%, rural -0.3%); food -0.4% MoM, non-food -0.3% MoM; consumer goods -0.6% MoM, services unchanged. • (
-0.9 – -0.5%China's business and market99%match98¢+1%
NBS: China June CPI down 0.3% MoM, up 1.0% YoY • The National Bureau of Statistics reported June CPI rose 1.0% YoY; urban +1.0%, rural +0.8%. Food prices fell 1.6% YoY, non-food +1.5%; consumer goods +1.1% YoY, services +0.8% YoY. Jan–Jun average CPI +1.0% YoY. Month-on-month June CPI declined 0.3% (urban -0.4%, rural -0.3%); food -0.4% MoM, non-food -0.3% MoM; consumer goods -0.6% MoM, services unchanged. • (
0.6 – 1.0%News99%match49¢+22%
*CHINA JUNE CONSUMER PRICES RISE 1.0% Y/Y; EST. +1.1%
0.1 – 0.5%News98%match95¢-12%
*CHINA JUNE CONSUMER PRICES RISE 1.0% Y/Y; EST. +1.1%
1.1 – 1.5%News99%match85¢+5%
*CHINA JUNE CONSUMER PRICES RISE 1.0% Y/Y; EST. +1.1%
-0.4 – 0.0%Reuters99%match98¢
China June CPI -0.3% From Previous Month (Reuters Poll -0.2%)
0.6 – 1.0%marketnews_feed99%match68¢-41%
CHINA CONSUMER, WHOLESALE INFLATION TOPS ESTIMATES AS IRAN WAR DRIVES ENERGY COSTS HIGHER-CNBC ...
1.1 – 1.5%marketnews_feed99%match69¢+29%
CHINA CONSUMER, WHOLESALE INFLATION TOPS ESTIMATES AS IRAN WAR DRIVES ENERGY COSTS HIGHER-CNBC ...
1.6 – 2.0%marketnews_feed99%match96¢+1%
CHINA CONSUMER, WHOLESALE INFLATION TOPS ESTIMATES AS IRAN WAR DRIVES ENERGY COSTS HIGHER-CNBC ...
-0.9 – -0.5%marketnews_feed99%match100¢-1%
CHINA CONSUMER, WHOLESALE INFLATION TOPS ESTIMATES AS IRAN WAR DRIVES ENERGY COSTS HIGHER-CNBC ...
2.5%+marketnews_feed99%match10¢-100%
CHINA CONSUMER, WHOLESALE INFLATION TOPS ESTIMATES AS IRAN WAR DRIVES ENERGY COSTS HIGHER-CNBC ...
0.6 – 1.0%redboxwire99%match68¢-41%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
1.1 – 1.5%redboxwire99%match69¢+29%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
2.0-2.4%redboxwire99%match9¢-44%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
1.6 – 2.0%redboxwire99%match96¢+1%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
-0.9 – -0.5%redboxwire99%match100¢-1%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
2.5%+redboxwire99%match10¢-100%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
0.6 – 1.0%firstsquawk99%match68¢-41%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
1.1 – 1.5%firstsquawk99%match69¢+29%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
1.6 – 2.0%firstsquawk99%match96¢+1%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC
-0.9 – -0.5%firstsquawk99%match100¢-1%
China consumer, wholesale inflation tops estimates as Iran war drives energy costs higher-CNBC

What is this event about?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

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