Next leader out of power before 2027?Netanyahu - Israel PM
ResolvedOutcome: No$1.2Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Netanyahu is months away from an election:
Hungary's Viktor Orbán has conceded defeat, ending 16 years in power. In Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is facing strong opposition ahead of a vote for his reelection coming up in the fall.
Netanyahu wrote on his Twitter account: "Under my leadership, Israel will continue to fight the terrorist regime of Iran and its affiliated forces, in contrast to Erdogan, who helps them and even massacres his own Kurdish citizens."
Netanyahu: "We are determined to crush the existential threat from Iran to the ground. We have already achieved the great change: Israel is stronger than ever, Iran's terrorist regime is weaker than ever."
Netanyahu: We will continue to destroy the Iranian regime and kill its leaders.
Netanyahu: It's time to see leaders of other countries joining us in the war
After a "difficult night," Netanyahu is determined to continue fighting | For details
PM Netanyahu: We're determined to keep hitting our enemies on all fronts.
PM Netanyahu: I spoke with dozens of leaders who admit: the US and Israel are fighting our war. They told me this in private conversations; I say it publicly.
Where does the news lean?
2YES21NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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See all outcomes for Next leader out of power before 2027? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.