May Inflation US - Annual3.8%
ResolvedOutcome: No$31Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
#US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI flash May 2026 55.3 vs 53.8 exp. • Pr 54.5. • Services 50.9 vs 51.1 exp. Pr 51.7. • • -Flash PMI signals subdued growth in May amid price surge • -Factory growth was again in part supported by temporary stock building and both sectors reported that order book growth had been somewhat subdued • - Surging input costs, which jumped in May at the steepest rate since late-2022 on the back of rising war-related supply constraints and steep energy cost increases, were not only cited as causing lower sales but also contributed to steepening job losses and a further rise in selling price inflation to its highest since August 2022. • #USD
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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