How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?13-14
Open$10Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
SpaceX Stock Falls After 'Near Perfect' 13th Starship Test. Flight 14 Will Be Wild. -- Barrons.com
SpaceX Stock Still Struggles After 'Near Perfect' 13th Starship Test. Flight 14 Will Be Wild. -- Barrons.com
SpaceX Stock Rises After 13th Starship Test -- Flight 14 Will Be Wild -- Barrons.com
Starship's 13th test launch ended with a successful splashdown SpaceX successfully conducted the 13th test launch of the Starship super-heavy rocket after a series of launch delays. The ship's upper stage performed a controlled descent and splashed down in the Indian Ocean. During the mission, the ship was supposed to launch 20 Starlink V3 test satellites into a suborbital trajectory, ignite one of the Raptor engines in outer space, and test new heat shield control methods. [in reply to: Starship successfully completed its first test flight after a series of failures SpaceX conducted the 12th test launch of the Starship V3 rocket. The spacecraft spent about an hour in space and made a controlled splashdown in the Indian Ocean. This is Starship's first test flight since October 2025. A previous launch attempt was canceled seconds before liftoff due to technical problems. ]
SpaceX's Starship rocket launched from Texas on Friday. It was the rocket's 13th test flight and was designed to demonstrate a range of its capabilities, including the first suborbital deployment of new Starlink satellites.
YESBenzinga98%match3¢-100%
[Replying to @Sajwani] @Sajwani > Just in: SpaceX rolled out Starship 12 Super Heavy Booster 19 for testing
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.