Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 81% on Sep 27, 2026

OpenMove

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 69.5¢ to 80.5¢ (+11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Belarus State News Agency.

How did the odds move?

At match69.5¢
+5m70.5¢
+30m80.5¢
+1h80.5¢
1h move+11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesBelarus State News Agency94%match
Trump said the US will hold talks with Iran next week.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 76% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES76¢
NO25¢

Vol$15K

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Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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