US x Cuba economic dealDecember 31

OpenVol$22KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 21% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES21¢
NO80¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOIran Semi-Official SNN91%match82¢-4%
Trump extends US trade embargo against Cuba US President Donald Trump announced that he has extended the US trade embargo against Cuba for another year. News Details Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv

Where does the news lean?

0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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