US x Cuba economic dealJuly 31

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$92KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOVenezuela State-Backed TV93%match98¢+2%
Cuba, today, July 24, 2026 - The United States imposes new charges against Cuban officials and entities - President Díaz-Canel visits the Havana Technology Park. - The Chinese government continues to reaffirm its support for Cuba #Cuba #China #Ministries #Blockade #EconomicBlockade #CubaResists
NOtelegraph.co.uk98%match96¢+4%
Live: US blockade to begin tomorrow

Where does the news lean?

0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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