US x Cuba economic dealApril 30
ResolvedOutcome: No$136Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Russia vows to help Cuba withstand US 'blackmail and threats' #oott
US OFFICIAL: ADVANCEMENT BEING MADE ON EFFORTS TO REACH A DEAL - CBS
In a message delivered at the "International Conference on Humanitarian Action, Resources and Accountability in the Context of Unilateral Sanctions," held at the UN headquarters in Geneva, I rejected the US economic, commercial and financial blockade against Cuba, reinforced to unprecedented levels with the energy embargo. I denounced the economic suffocation and collective punishment to which the Cuban people are deliberately subjected, in flagrant and systematic violation of their human rights.
CUBA | “We have incredible power to do good in the world… but we also have incredible power to do bad in the world — to threaten and to bully, to bring a country and a people to its knees,” said Rep. Pramila Jayapal, after visiting Cuba, which she described as a society rooted in “love” and “sharing” but being strangled by U.S. sanctions and a fuel blockade. • • Rep. Jonathan Jackson and Jayapal concluded a five-day official visit on April 5, meeting President Miguel Díaz-Canel, Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez, and members of parliament. They said the trip aimed to document the impact of U.S. policy firsthand and raise bilateral and human rights issues. • • In an interview with Belly of the Beast, the lawmakers described a severe humanitarian crisis driven by fuel shortages and power outages. Jayapal pointed to neonatal units at risk during blackouts, while Jackson said ventilators, incubators, and elevators are failing due to fuel shortages. • • The pair said Cuba’s leadership reiterated openness to direct negotiations with Washington, and pointed to a letter signed by 52 members of Congress urging the administration to end the fuel blockade. They described U.S. policy as “economic warfare,” with decades of sanctions and the blockade inflicting direct harm on civilians, and said momentum is building in Congress—and in the country more broadly—to confront and change the policy.
Where does the news lean?
9YES3NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
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