US x Cuba economic dealJune 30
ResolvedOutcome: No$183Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
U.S. plans to indict former Cuban leader Raul Castro over the downing of humanitarian planes two decades ago have increased tensions on the island, as Cuba struggles with severe fuel shortages. • • More Here →
U.S. plans to indict former Cuban leader Raul Castro over the downing of humanitarian planes two decades ago have increased tensions on the island, as Cuba struggles with severe fuel shortages. • • More Here →
US OFFICIAL: ADVANCEMENT BEING MADE ON EFFORTS TO REACH A DEAL - CBS
In a message delivered at the "International Conference on Humanitarian Action, Resources and Accountability in the Context of Unilateral Sanctions," held at the UN headquarters in Geneva, I rejected the US economic, commercial and financial blockade against Cuba, reinforced to unprecedented levels with the energy embargo. I denounced the economic suffocation and collective punishment to which the Cuban people are deliberately subjected, in flagrant and systematic violation of their human rights.
Rep. Pramila Jayapal says she and Rep. Jonathan Jackson just took a CODEL to Cuba. • • "The remaining obstacles to progress in Cuba now rest with the United States changing our outdated, Cold War-era policy of coercive economic measures and military pressures against Cuba."
Where does the news lean?
9YES8NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
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See all outcomes for US x Cuba economic deal — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.