SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$105Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESThe Wall Street Journal99%match98¢+2%
Breaking: SpaceX has acquired xAI. The deal combines Elon Musk's powerful rocket-and-satellite business with an AI startup facing steep competition.
YESThe New York Times99%match98¢+2%
Breaking News: Elon Musk merged SpaceX with his A.I. start-up, xAI, creating the world’s most valuable private company.
YESCGTN America99%match98¢+2%
Musk merges xAI into SpaceX in bid to build space data centers: statement
YESunusual_whales99%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: SpaceX has acquired xAI
YESAxios99%match98¢+2%
JUST IN: Elon Musk's SpaceX to merge with xAI
YESAxios99%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: Elon Musk's SpaceX to merge with xAI
YESSolid Intel 📡99%match98¢+2%
INTEL: SpaceX has acquired xAI
YESWatcher.Guru99%match98¢+2%
JUST IN: Elon Musk's SpaceX officially acquires xAI.
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match98¢+2%
SPACEX: SPACEX HAS ACQUIRED XAI
YESCGTN America99%match98¢+2%
SPACEX: SPACEX HAS ACQUIRED XAI
YESPolymarket99%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: Elon Musk reportedly plans to merge SpaceX with xAI in deal valued at $1,250,000,000,000.00. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Polymarket projects a SpaceX + xAI merger is imminent. >80% chance.
YESCNBC99%match98¢+2%
Elon Musk’s SpaceX reportedly combining with xAI ahead of potential IPO
YESStocktwits99%match98¢+2%
SpaceX reportedly confirms xAI merger valued at $1.25 trillion
YESunusual_whales99%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI, per Bloomberg, with SpaceX, xAI valued at $1.25 trillion.
YESBloomberg99%match98¢+2%
Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI, according to people familiar with the matter, in a deal that encompasses the billionaire’s ambitions to dominate artificial intelligence and space exploration. Listen to that and the latest stories on Bloomberg News Now.…
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match84¢+19%
MUSK PLANS SPACE-AI MEGA MERGER Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI, according to sources. The move supports his ambitions in AI and space. The decision was shared internally. SpaceX is also preparing an IPO that could raise up to $50 billion and value the company at $1.5…
YESWatcher.Guru99%match84¢+19%
BREAKING: Elon Musk's SpaceX to merge with xAI, Bloomberg reports.
YESBloomberg99%match84¢+19%
Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI in a deal that encompasses the billionaire’s increasingly costly ambitions to dominate artificial intelligence and space exploration
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match84¢+19%
ELON MUSK'S SPACEX CONFIRMS MERGER WITH XAI IN COMPANY MEMO
YESzerohedge99%match84¢+19%
*ELON MUSK'S SPACEX CONFIRMS MERGER WITH XAI IN COMPANY MEMO And we have lift off as odds hit 98%. Congrats to those who bought. [Quoting @zerohedge]
> Odds of a SpaceX + xAI combination jump to contract highs on Polymarket after Bbg report that Musk is in advanced talks to combine the two.
YESFinancialJuice99%match84¢+19%
Musk's SpaceX confirms merger with Xai in a company memo.
YESCGTN America99%match84¢+19%
ELON MUSK'S SPACEX CONFIRMS MERGER WITH XAI IN COMPANY MEMO
YEStradfi news99%match84¢+19%
*ELON MUSK'S SPACEX CONFIRMS MERGER WITH XAI IN COMPANY MEMO $TSLA
YESzerohedge99%match84¢+19%
Odds of a SpaceX + xAI combination jump to contract highs on Polymarket after Bbg report that Musk is in advanced talks to combine the two. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Polymarket projects a SpaceX + xAI merger is imminent. >80% chance.
Where does the news lean?
25YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by SpaceX or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.