H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes lawJune 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$43KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESaxios99%match17¢-100%
Thune eyes marathon sessions to ease MAGA anger over SAVE Act
YESpolitico.com99%match16¢-100%
Republicans plan marathon debate for SAVE America Act
NOFox Reporter99%match72¢+39%
Trump’s push to pass the SAVE America Act runs into a Senate reality. What you need to know about the “talking filibuster.”
NOfoxnews.com99%match72¢+39%
Reporter's Notebook: Trump's SAVE Act ultimatum runs into Senate reality
YESpresssec99%match33¢-100%
White House Pushes for Passage of Save America Act: ‘One of the Most Critical Pieces of Legislation in Our Nation’s History’ • •
NONews99%match67¢+49%
Sen Cornyn backs Senate Rules Changes to Pass SAVE America Act
NONews99%match67¢+49%
Capitol agenda: GOP wants to move past the SAVE America Act
NONews98%match67¢+49%
GOP wants to move past the SAVE America Act
NOelonmusk98%match69¢+45%
Understand what Thune is doing right now. It’s not enough for him to kill the SAVE America Act. Thune has to kill it while also protecting his worst RINO colleagues from being • exposed for opposing it. • • How does Thune accomplish his? By avoiding a simple majority vote at all costs. Thune knows a public vote where Republicans get less than 50 votes—with people like Tillis and Curtis and McConnell and Murkowski voting against IT—is electoral poison. He doesn’t want it to pass, but he also can’t have it die at the hands of his own puke colleagues. • • So how does Thune do this? By refusing to move to the already-passed House bill (this only requires a simple majority because the House message is privileged) and instead moving to a new, standalone Senate bill. A new Senate bill is not privileged, and therefore the motion to proceed to it is debatable, meaning it requires 60 votes. • • Thune needs to kill the SAVE America Act, not expose any of his GOP colleagues as being against it, and be able to pretend that he tried. This is the actual Senate GOP trifecta—doing nothing while pretending they tried everything and protecting the worst of the worst the whole time. • • So when you watch the GOP Senate bring up a brand new SAVE America Act bill and hold a single vote on a motion that needs 60 to pass, know that they’re doing it because they think you’re stupid.
YESfoxnews98%match32¢-100%
VOTING PUSH: Republicans are facing “substantial pressure” to pass the Save America Act, which would require proof of citizenship to vote, with much of the momentum coming “directly from the top,” reports FOX News’ @ChadPergram.
YESNews99%match32¢-100%
Republicans face a growing conundrum on the ‘SAVE America Act’
YESwhitehouse98%match32¢-100%
President Trump is urging Congress to pass the SAVE America Act – one of the most critical pieces of legislation in recent history. • The SAVE America Act is overwhelmingly popular with all Americans because each provision is rooted in common sense. • • The SAVE America Act has five simple requirements: • • Number one, voters have to show ID to cast a ballot in an American election. 90% of Americans – including ~80% of Democrat voters – agree with this. • • Number two, the SAVE America Act will require all voters to show proof of citizenship in order to register to vote. • • Number three, the SAVE America Act abolishes the incredibly unsecure practice of universal mail-in ballots which throw the door wide open for fraud. Importantly, the SAVE America Act maintains exceptions for Americans to use mail-in-ballots for illness, disability, military, or travel reasons. • Number four, the SAVE America Act permanently bans men from competing in women’s sports. • Number five, the SAVE America Act bans transgender mutilation surgery for children. • • Passing the SAVE America Act is the most important thing that Republicans can do right now to strengthen election integrity.
YESpresssec98%match32¢-100%
President Trump is urging Congress to pass the SAVE America Act – one of the most critical pieces of legislation in recent history. • The SAVE America Act is overwhelmingly popular with all Americans because each provision is rooted in common sense. • • The SAVE America Act has five simple requirements: • • Number one, voters have to show ID to cast a ballot in an American election. 90% of Americans – including ~80% of Democrat voters – agree with this. • • Number two, the SAVE America Act will require all voters to show proof of citizenship in order to register to vote. • • Number three, the SAVE America Act abolishes the incredibly unsecure practice of universal mail-in ballots which throw the door wide open for fraud. Importantly, the SAVE America Act maintains exceptions for Americans to use mail-in-ballots for illness, disability, military, or travel reasons. • Number four, the SAVE America Act permanently bans men from competing in women’s sports. • Number five, the SAVE America Act bans transgender mutilation surgery for children. • • Passing the SAVE America Act is the most important thing that Republicans can do right now to strengthen election integrity.
YESNews99%match32¢-100%
Mike Johnson says House could vote again on SAVE America Act — this time with new provisions
NONews98%match69¢+45%
Thune eyes action on SAVE America Act next week — without a ‘talking filibuster’
NOcbseveningnews98%match69¢+45%
Senate Majority Leader John Thune made clear Tuesday that an elections bill known as the SAVE America Act faces an unlikely path to passage, reiterating his skepticism about the bill's chances as President Trump threatens a legislative blockade until Congress approves the measure.
YESpresssec99%match31¢-100%
.@PressSec: PASS THE SAVE AMERICA ACT!
YESlivesquawk99%match37¢-100%
Senate Majority Leader Thune: There Will Be A Debate And Vote On Save Act
YESWhite House Rapid Response99%match37¢-100%
.@PressSec: PASS THE SAVE AMERICA ACT!
YESPolitico Reporter99%match37¢-100%
News, per four people: Senate Rs expecting SAVE America Act will come up next week (once Senate finishes housing) under a 60-vote threshold • • Caveat is that if there's a DHS deal it would get bumped
NOPolitico Reporter99%match63¢+59%
News: WH officials told antsy House Republicans in private conversations at their policy retreat today that the SAVE America Act would "get a vote" in the Senate soon, per 3 ppl with direct knowledge of the convos • • But they suggested it would just be a vote, and not a move to break the filibuster to pass the legislation.

Where does the news lean?

20YES12NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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