Prince Andrew releasedFebruary 19
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$111Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOThe Hill98%match80¢-100%
12:30 REPORT: Epstein fallout intensifies with former Prince Andrew's arrest
NOReuters99%match80¢-100%
Police officers remain outside Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor's residence after he was arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office over allegations he sent confidential government documents to Jeffrey Epstein. Live updates:
NOThe Hill98%match80¢-100%
Former Prince Andrew arrested over Epstein ties: What to know
NOReuters99%match80¢-100%
BBC reports that King Charles' brother Andrew has been arrested
NOBreaking91198%match80¢-100%
BREAKING: British police arrested Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor — the former Prince Andrew — on suspicion of misconduct.
NOBloomberg98%match80¢-100%
On the surface, the arrest of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor looks bad for Britain's global image. But is that fair? Get the Readout with @hariboconomics
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is released from custody by February 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Prince Andrew is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Prince Andrew is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Prince Andrew to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Extradition of Prince Andrew to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Prince Andrew released — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.