Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$379KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOnytimes.com99%match90¢+11%
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is speaking at a congressional hearing in Washington and was asked about the Trump administration’s plans to withdraw U.S.
NOReuters Reporter99%match80¢+25%
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth attends a House Armed Services Committee hearing on the Department of Defense's FY27 budget request on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz
YESibtimes.com99%match29¢-100%
Broker For Hegseth Looked Into Making Investment In Defense Contractors Before Iran War: Report. • A broker for U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth looked into making a significant investment in defense companies before the start of the Iran war, according to the Financial Times.

Where does the news lean?

3YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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