Pete Hegseth impeachedDecember 31, 2026

OpenVol$282Deadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES6¢
NO94¢

24has of

Where does the news lean?

0YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Pete Hegseth impeached — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.