Mike Johnson out as SpeakerOctober 31, 2026
Open$1Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Speaker Johnson walks back talk about potentially leaving Congress
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 84% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
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See all outcomes for Mike Johnson out as Speaker — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.