Mike Johnson out as SpeakerJune 30, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No$17Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOBreaking91199%match89¢+12%
Speaker Mike Johnson: "Inflation, and gas prices, and crime are going down, and paychecks and tax refunds are going up. You have a secure border again. You have a restoration of Peace Through Strength."
NOBreaking91198%match89¢+12%
Speaker Mike Johnson on President Trumps' historic tax cut: "For the average household across the country, it's about $10,000 more in take-home pay that you get to keep, that Uncle Sam doesn't take from you."
YESFinancialJuice98%match11¢-100%
US House Speaker Johnson: Congress is unlikely to codify Trump's tariffs - Politico.
Where does the news lean?
5YES7NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Mike Johnson out as Speaker — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.