Mike Johnson out as SpeakerDecember 31, 2026
Open$4Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES12¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NEW: 1,477 unread text messages, 829 unlistened-to voicemails, 14 minutes of family time on average each day, and phone calls from President Trump at all hours of the night. • • My profile into the life of Speaker Mike Johnson, who has one of the most politically fraught and exhausting jobs in the country. • • And yes, he does want two more years of it if Republicans keep ahold of the House majority. •
I asked Speaker Mike Johnson if the House will ban members from betting in prediction markets after the Senate’s action: “It’s an idea we're talking about. I mean, I would be in favor of it, but before we do anything like that, I gotta get consensus on it.”
US House Speaker Mike Johnson says his prayers are with Trump on China visit
NEW: House Speaker Mike Johnson sounds the alarm on “mini Mamdanis” to @kilmeade as Democrats trend toward electing socialists around the country: • • BRIAN KILMEADE: "Democrats seem to be nominating some extreme candidates... People say, ‘This is just like what the Republicans went through after they lost to Obama, they had the Tea Party.’ Is this the same to you?" • • JOHNSON: "This is something that we have never seen before in American history... This is about moving away from a constitutional republic to a communist utopian ideology." • • "This is not our father's Democratic Party anymore. They're going far, far left and no one’s there to stop it." • • | @foxandfriends
Speaker Mike Johnson turned more than a half-dozen hardline conservative no votes during a marathon vote series on the House floor Wednesday, passing a rule that will allow him to bring up several legislative priorities. •
After Speaker Johnson flipped ALL Republican holdouts over more than an hour… this did not seem likely earlier today. Now farm bill, budget resolution, FISA can move forward
Johnson heading to the floor says "I think we do" have the votes to pass FISA/farm bill/budget resolution rule this morning • • "We're about to find out"
Johnson gavels in
Speaker Mike Johnson tells me King's speech will be a unifying moment • •
US HOUSE SPEAKER JOHNSON SAYS HE NOW HAS A MODIFIED DHS FUNDING BILL WHICH HE WILL ATTEMPT TO PASS — PUNCHBOWL ...
US HOUSE SPEAKER JOHNSON SAYS HE NOW HAS A MODIFIED DHS FUNDING BILL WHICH HE WILL ATTEMPT TO PASS — PUNCHBOWL
Speaker Mike Johnson joins us live to discuss the attack at the WHCD via @YouTube
In q-and-a w @NOLAnews, @SpeakerJohnson says he frequently tells Trump no - in private: • • I'm a jealous guardian of Article 1. There are lines that cannot be crossed. • • And when we get close to one of those lines, I have a frank conversation with the president. But I do that privately and not publicly because he's the president of my own party. • • The president and I confer constantly. I advise him all the time. • • It is a frequent occasion where he'll call with an idea and say, ‘Mike, I'd like to do XYZ. Can we do that?’ • • ‘Well, no, sir, that's not possible for these reasons.’ • • Or ‘yes, sir, that’s an idea. We can work on that through our committee process.’ • • Or ‘no, that's not something that I think is wise for the country.’ • • I mean, these are constant conversations, but I don’t, I’m not debating the president in public, and that’s what some of the press corps on the Hill would love to see.
Speaker Johnson said in a statement provided to ABC News that he spoke to NJ GOP Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. by phone on Thursday, and that he is dealing with an unspecified "personal health matter” and “expects to be back to 100% very soon.”
NEWS IN AM: • • SPEAKER MIKE JOHNSON'S House Republican leadership plans to give a more fulsome framework of Reconciliation 3.0 next week. • • Comes as rank and file remains skeptical about the reality of a third reconciliation bill. • •
Where does the news lean?
18YES36NO20neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
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