Mike Johnson out as SpeakerJuly 31, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Speaker Mike Johnson says he’s getting ready to head out to 30 cities in 17 states as the House leaves for its summer recess ahead of the midterms • • They’re scheduled to return August 31
A big afternoon for Speaker Mike Johnson. • • He cleared the NDAA, a quasi-ban on members of congress trading stock and a budget resolution. • • Three big wins in one day.
Speaker Mike Johnson told me "We've got a schedule this week. We're sticking to it," when I asked him if he would send members home early if the NDAA, budget resolution and insider trading bill all pass tonight.
Speaker MIKE JOHNSON is meeting with Republicans on the House Rules Committee ahead of their meeting today on a big pile of bills.
Live: Speaker Mike Johnson says he'll put short term funding bill on House floor next week
SPEAKER MIKE JOHNSON is meeting with Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi in the Capitol.
NEW: 1,477 unread text messages, 829 unlistened-to voicemails, 14 minutes of family time on average each day, and phone calls from President Trump at all hours of the night. • • My profile into the life of Speaker Mike Johnson, who has one of the most politically fraught and exhausting jobs in the country. • • And yes, he does want two more years of it if Republicans keep ahold of the House majority. •
Where does the news lean?
0YES12NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
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