Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed ChairJune 30
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$51Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
27 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Kevin Warsh has spent years positioning himself to lead the Federal Reserve, refining his case that the Fed had lost its way and needs to be reformed. • • He is expected to finally get his chance, with a Senate confirmation vote as early as Wednesday.
To clarify, Warsh might be confirmed as early as Wednesday but won’t become chairman until the 16th.
Fed leaves rates unchanged at Jerome Powell's final meeting as chairman. • The U.S. Federal Reserve's next meeting in June is likely to be led by Kevin Warsh after he cleared a Senate Banking Committee vote on Wednesday.
Senate Banking Committee approves Trump's Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh 13–11. He now advances to a full Senate vote.
The Senate Banking Committee’s vote for Kevin Warsh should set up a smooth confirmation before Jay Powell’s term ends May 15 • • The Senate will need to vote on two nominations: to confirm Warsh to the Fed board and then to be Fed chair, which requires more floor time
Kevin Warsh, Donald Trump’s nominee to be the next Federal Reserve chair, won the backing of the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote, putting him on track to be confirmed by the full Senate
JUST IN: U.S. Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh has been approved by the Senate Banking Committee, advancing to a full Senate vote.
Warsh's nomination to succeed as Federal Reserve Chairman has been approved by the Senate Banking Committee.
Senate banking committee advances Kevin Warsh's nomination to be Federal Reserve chair
NEW: Kevin Warsh clears Senate Banking Committee, advancing to a full Senate vote for Fed chair nomination
Senate Banking Committee Advances Kevin Warsh to be Next Fed Chair -- WSJ
The US Senate Banking Committee approves Kevin Warsh's nomination to head the Federal Reserve.
U.S. Senate committee approves Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, moving him forward to taking office in May.
BREAKING: President Trump's Fed Chair nomination, Kevin Warsh, has been approved by the Senate Banking Committee and will advance to the full Senate vote. • • Today, at 2:30 PM ET, Jerome Powell will give his last Fed press conference as Fed Chair.
BREAKING • • Kevin Warsh confirmed by the US Senate Banking Committee
YESNews99%match98¢+2%
The US Senate has approved Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chairman.
Senate Banking Committee votes to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination for Fed chair
Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh advances to Senate confirmation vote
The Senate Banking Committee approved the nomination of Kevin M. Warsh to chair the Federal Reserve. The 13-11 vote sets up the full Senate to consider Warsh’s nomination in the coming days, as lawmakers try to install him at the central bank before the term of the current chair, Jerome H. Powell, expires in mid-May.
US Senate Banking Committee officially confirms and advances Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh in vote
News: The Senate Banking Committee voted 13-11 to advance the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve. • • The vote was along party lines and sets up Warsh's nomination for a floor vote when the Senate returns after its May 4 recess week.
Senate Banking Committee begins meeting to confirm and advance Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh set to clear key Senate hurdle to replace Fed chair Powell
Senate committee set to vote on Kevin Warsh's nomination for Fed chair
Senate lawmakers will take a key step today toward confirming Kevin M. Warsh as the next chair of the Federal Reserve. The Senate Banking Committee is set to vote this morning on Warsh, a move that would tee up his nomination for the full chamber to consider soon.
98% chance Kevin Warsh confirmed by July • •
Prediction markets showing a sharp rise in odds of Warsh being seated by May 15. But Pirro's statement appears to have done little to quell concerns at the Fed or on Capitol Hill: No comment yet from the Fed nor Tillis & the Banking Committee has yet to schedule a vote for Warsh.
Where does the news lean?
23YES8NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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