Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
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Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Al-Hadath correspondent, citing sources: Iran has agreed to halt uranium enrichment in exchange for easing US sanctions.
Live: Iran will not back down from 60 percent enrichment, says parliament committee chairman
NONews91%match88¢-1%
(Iran's Al Alam) President Pezeshkian to Fox News: We will abandon uranium enrichment to 9660 in accordance with international law and the Non-Proliferation Treaty.
"Restraint is over"... Iran threatens
Iran will not compromise on enrichment rights, FM spox says • •
Iran’s foreign ministry says that Tehran’s right to enrich uranium was “indisputable” although the level of enrichment is “negotiable.” • •
The Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman confirms that his country will not relinquish its right to uranium enrichment. #AlArabyTV
The Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson confirms that his country will not relinquish its right to uranium enrichment.
Live: Iran right to enrich uranium ‘indisputable’
BREAKING: Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei says that Tehran’s right to enrich uranium is “indisputable” although the level of enrichment is “negotiable.”
Iranian Foreign Ministry: There is room for dialogue regarding the level and type of uranium enrichment.
Iranian Foreign Ministry: We uphold our right to enrichment, but the percentage is negotiable.
BREAKING: Iran foreign ministry insists on right to enrich uranium, says level negotiable, AFP reports. • • More here:
ALERT: Iran foreign ministry insists on right to enrich uranium, says level negotiable
Iran: My presence: As long as we are members of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, it is natural for us to continue enrichment.
Iran: My presence: Iran's right to enrich uranium is part of Iran's rights under its membership in the Non-Proliferation Treaty
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Iran's right to the peaceful use of nuclear energy is a right that no one granted us, so it cannot be taken away from us under pressure or war. Iran's right to enrich uranium is part of its rights under its membership in the Non-Proliferation Treaty. As long as we are members of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, it is natural that we continue enrichment.
NEW: Iran FM spokesperson Esmail Baghaei says the level and scope of nuclear enrichment are open to negotiation.
The type and level of enrichment is negotiable/ Iran should be able to continue enrichment based on its needs Spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs at a press conference: Iran's right to peacefully exploit nuclear energy is a right that no one has granted us to take away from us under pressure or war. This right is part of Iran's rights under the Non-Proliferation Treaty, and as long as we are a party to this document, we should be able to enjoy its benefits. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Canceling enrichment is a red line for Iran, and we will not accept the removal of uranium or the dismantling of our nuclear program under any circumstances. Dr. Hakam Amhaz - Regional Expert
Where does the news lean?
1YES46NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 57% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.