Bank of Japan Decision in June?25 bps increase
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$241Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
23 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Bank of Japan Policy Board Member Suzu says "an early interest rate hike is desirable" if the economy does not decline.
Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu stated that interest rates should be raised as soon as possible if there are no clear signs of an economic slowdown. • • More Here →
JAPAN’S BOJ BOARD MEMBER MASU STATES HE BELIEVES POLICY RATES SHOULD BE INCREASED FURTHER INTO THE NEUTRAL INTEREST RATE BAND. ...
Japan’s BOJ board member Masu states he believes policy rates should be increased further into the neutral interest rate band.
Japan’s BOJ board member Masu states he believes policy rates should be increased further into the neutral interest rate band.
Bank of Japan shows signs of impatience for further interest rate hikes amid a series of inflationary concerns at its April meeting.
Bank of Japan shows signs of impatience for further interest rate hikes amid a series of inflationary concerns at its April meeting.
Bank of Japan minutes suggest next move to come in June
The Bank of Japan, despite uncertainty in the Middle East, stated in its April meeting comments that "another interest rate hike is possible."
The Bank of Japan, despite uncertainty in the Middle East, stated in its April meeting comments that "another interest rate hike is possible."
BOJ 'Summary" - Japan rate hike back on table as BOJ signals next move still likely upward •
YESReuters99%match65¢+54%
Bank of Japan April Meeting Summary of Opinions: One Member Said Given Real Interest Rates Are at Significantly Low Levels, Appropriate for BoJ to Continue Raising Policy Rate
March wage growth in Japan supportive of June rate rise
Steady wage gains are strengthening the case for a Bank of Japan rate hike in June •
The Bank of Japan signaled a potential June rate hike this week, expressing concerns about inflation overshooting its target. • • More Here →
ANALYSIS-BOJ locks in June rate hike in a risky bet that nothing gets worse
The Bank of Japan's target interest rate is 1.50%; half of market participants expect three interest rate hikes.
Bonds at 3 PM: Long-term interest rates temporarily fell to 2.370% on expectations that the Bank of Japan will not raise interest rates.
Expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike narrow the downside for long-term interest rates, even if it is postponed in April, a June hike is possible.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda did not commit to an April rate increase, citing uncertainty from the Iran war but suggested a hike remains possible in June. Despite market focus on the lack of an April hint, Ueda stressed the need to monitor Middle East developments and their economic impact. • • More Here →
IMF's Srinivasan: BoJ can look through the first round of shock
BOJ to hike rates by June as war-fuelled inflation risks mount: Reuters poll • •
The Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates while monitoring the Middle East conflict's impact on the economy and inflation, according to BOJ executive director Koji Nakamura. • • More Here →
Where does the news lean?
38YES17NO16neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
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