Bank of Japan Decision in October?50+ bps decrease
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"Adjusting the degree of monetary easing," Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Himino says the government plans to continue raising interest rates, while also expressing concern about rising inflation.
Japan's inflation accelerated in July; market expects Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in October.
The Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes have reached their peak; two more hikes are expected this year.
NOReuters93%match100¢
BoJ Set to Raise Interest Rates as Soon as September, Consider Hiking at Faster Pace Thereafter, Sources Say
The Bank of Japan mentioned accelerating the pace of interest rate hikes, stating, "We need to speed up the adjustment of the degree of monetary easing."
Bank of Japan members call for "accelerating the pace" of interest rate hikes, wary of rising prices; several members positive about the July meeting.
Where does the news lean?
0YES13NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
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