Bank of Japan Decision in October?

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The Bank of Japan is reportedly in no hurry to raise interest rates consecutively, leaving room for action before the end of the year.
The Bank of Japan is reportedly in no hurry to raise interest rates consecutively, leaving room for action before the end of the year.
25 bps increaselivesquawk96%match95¢+1%
BoJ Is Said To Lean Against Back-To-Back Rate Hike In October – BBG • •
BoJ Is Said To Lean Against Back-To-Back Rate Hike In October – BBG • •
*The Bank of Japan is likely to postpone raising interest rates at its meeting this month, but does not rule out the possibility of a December rate hike - sources = Bloomberg *BOJ IS SAID TO LEAN AGAINST BACK-TO-BACK RATE HIKE IN OCTOBER: BBG
*The Bank of Japan is likely to postpone raising interest rates at its meeting this month, but does not rule out the possibility of a December rate hike - sources = Bloomberg *BOJ IS SAID TO LEAN AGAINST BACK-TO-BACK RATE HIKE IN OCTOBER: BBG
25 bps increaseNews95%match96¢
*BOJ IS SAID TO LEAN AGAINST BACK-TO-BACK RATE HIKE IN OCTOBER
50+ bps increaseNews95%match99¢
*BOJ IS SAID TO LEAN AGAINST BACK-TO-BACK RATE HIKE IN OCTOBER
"Maintain a moderate level of monetary easing and avoid drastic interest rate hikes," says Bank of Japan Policy Board member Sato.
50+ bps increasenikkei93%match99¢
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda says "accommodative environment will be maintained" even after the September interest rate hike
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda says "accommodative environment will be maintained" even after raising interest rates in September.
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda reiterates the stance of continuing interest rate hikes, stating "we will adjust the degree of monetary easing" in his address at the National Securities Convention.
25 bps increasenikkei.com92%match89¢+8%
Foreign exchange 17:00: Yen continues to fall, trading in the low 158 yen range; expectations of an early interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan recede.
25 bps increaseReuters95%match88¢+9%
Many in BoJ Cautious of Raising Interest Rates in October, Prefer to Gauge More Data on Financial Conditions, Sources Say
50+ bps increaseReuters96%match99¢
Many in BoJ Cautious of Raising Interest Rates in October, Prefer to Gauge More Data on Financial Conditions, Sources Say
*Bond market sources: The Bank of Japan's terminal rate, currently at 2.5%, is likely at its upper limit, according to market expectations.
Bank of Japan releases minutes from July meeting; numerous opinions suggest accelerating pace of interest rate hikes.
Bank of Japan releases minutes from July meeting; numerous opinions suggest accelerating pace of interest rate hikes.
50+ bps decreaseReuters94%match100¢
BoJ Minutes: Board Debated Long-Term Interest Rate Moves with Several Saying Term Premia May Rise if Markets Fear BoJ Would Not Raise Rates at Appropriate Pace
50+ bps increaseft.com95%match99¢
Bank of Japan set to maintain new quarterly pace of rate rises
No changeNews93%match83¢+16%
URGENT Change in the rate trajectory in October due to the budget is unlikely - Deputy Chairman of the Central Bank
25 bps increase47news.jp94%match83¢+16%
Government and Bank of Japan conduct rate check; tensions escalate as expectations of interest rate hikes recede; yen surges to the 156 yen range.
Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to 1.25% at policy meeting...first increase in three months, accelerating pace to address upside risk to inflation.
Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to 1.25% at policy meeting...first increase in three months, accelerating pace to address upside risk to inflation.
The Bank of Japan is on a straight path to raising interest rates due to US pressure and concerns about rising inflation. Don't get in the way of Takaichi's growth strategy. - Hideo Tamura
The Bank of Japan is on a straight path to raising interest rates due to US pressure and concerns about rising inflation. Don't get in the way of Takaichi's growth strategy. - Hideo Tamura
25 bps increase47news.jp93%match85¢+13%
Government and Bank of Japan prepare to intervene by buying yen after the yen briefly surged to the 156 yen level; expectations of further interest rate hikes recede.
50+ bps increase47news.jp93%match98¢+1%
Government and Bank of Japan prepare to intervene by buying yen after the yen briefly surged to the 156 yen level; expectations of further interest rate hikes recede.
25 bps increase47news.jp93%match86¢+12%
The government and the Bank of Japan are preparing to intervene by buying yen after the yen briefly surged to the 156 yen level, leading to expectations of a reduced likelihood of further interest rate hikes.
50+ bps increase47news.jp94%match98¢+1%
The government and the Bank of Japan are preparing to intervene by buying yen after the yen briefly surged to the 156 yen level, leading to expectations of a reduced likelihood of further interest rate hikes.

What is this event about?

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.